Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.078695 0.091317 0.105122 0.121316 0.139766 0.160103 0.184190
2025-01-12 0.057124 0.073193 0.092371 0.116842 0.147121 0.183236 0.229441
2025-01-19 0.043693 0.061152 0.083657 0.114556 0.155597 0.207924 0.279330
2025-01-26 0.037046 0.056019 0.082169 0.120400 0.174326 0.247033 0.351693
2025-02-02 0.031902 0.051738 0.080774 0.125662 0.192415 0.286903 0.429334
2025-02-09 0.025700 0.044604 0.073920 0.121719 0.196429 0.307095 0.481195
2025-02-16 0.021520 0.039756 0.069576 0.120599 0.203999 0.332645 0.542826
2025-02-23 0.017825 0.034974 0.064474 0.117318 0.207415 0.351750 0.595989
2025-03-02 0.014993 0.031150 0.060306 0.114826 0.211495 0.371863 0.652112
2025-03-09 0.013197 0.028898 0.058499 0.116046 0.221745 0.402652 0.727975
2025-03-16 0.011125 0.025710 0.054456 0.112586 0.223201 0.418513 0.779864
2025-03-23 0.010319 0.024968 0.054953 0.117634 0.240499 0.463143 0.884883
2025-03-30 0.009178 0.023336 0.053516 0.118878 0.251092 0.497327 0.975442
2025-04-06 0.007831 0.020982 0.050232 0.115962 0.253325 0.516466 1.040543
2025-04-13 0.006797 0.019154 0.047786 0.114433 0.258080 0.540673 1.117059
2025-04-20 0.006440 0.018933 0.048884 0.120666 0.279373 0.598480 1.262140
2025-04-27 0.006059 0.018577 0.049612 0.126148 0.299621 0.655884 1.410911
2025-05-04 0.005186 0.016713 0.046449 0.122293 0.299265 0.671791 1.478735
2025-05-11 0.004578 0.015459 0.044585 0.121220 0.304880 0.700315 1.574132
2025-05-18 0.003951 0.014006 0.041972 0.117950 0.305086 0.717390 1.647124
2025-05-25 0.003442 0.012796 0.039797 0.115458 0.306776 0.737676 1.728274
2025-06-01 0.003137 0.012168 0.039108 0.116691 0.317451 0.778410 1.856093
2025-06-08 0.002709 0.011024 0.036769 0.113216 0.316198 0.792340 1.926460